Potential Range Shift of Snow Leopard in Future Climate Change Scenarios

نویسندگان

چکیده

The snow leopard (Panthera uncia) lives in alpine ecosystems Central Asia, where it could face intensive climate change and is thus a major conservation concern. We compiled dataset of 406 GPS-located occurrences based on field surveys, literature, the GBIF database. used Random Forest to build different species distribution models with maximum 27 explanatory variables, including climatic, topographical, human impact predict potential for make projections. estimated range shifts under two global representative concentration pathways 2050 2070. found center may move northwest by about 200 km upward elevation 100 m Unlike previous studies leopard, we highlighted that rather than northward are main changing climate, since landform their habitat allows an shift, whereas mountains valleys would block movement. Conservation should therefore prioritize protecting its current over making movement corridors.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Sustainability

سال: 2022

ISSN: ['2071-1050']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/su14031115